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'The Cosmic Ray Factor of a Solar Magnetic Shutdown' S0s Transcript

12/15/2013

2 Comments

 
(0:01) Good evening folks, the first part of tonights news will be a follow-up to 'They Want to Blame You,' if you haven't seen it you could Google that, or, hit pause and click the Link in the 'About' section; it'll open up a new window.

(0:11) Tonight is not the night to ignore the 'Link List' by the way; interested parties will lack free-time for at least a day. 
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(0:17) Focal point is: Cosmic Rays. If true, this news strengthens the arguments for Cosmic Climate Forcing; especially given that Earth's Magnetic Shield is weakening according to every official source.

(0:29) I say, 'if true,' because I have previously examined the arguments on both sides of this; even among the leaders in the field there is much disagreement on Cosmic Rays and clouds.

(0:40) But a point where everyone is on the same page is this: Solar Activity and strong Magnetic Fields associated with it block Galactic Radiation.

(0:48) This is an old University of Delaware page, but it's perfect for this example: up top we have Solar Cycles, high activity means strong fields and emissions. And when that Magnetic Shield weakens during Solar Minimum: the Cosmic Rays, below, penetrate much more.

(1:05) Even comparing Cycle to Cycle, look how much stronger one Cycle is than another and how much more the Cosmic Rays plummeted during the stronger Solar Activity; this correlation is incontrovertible.

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(1:18) Bit of review: Earth's Magnetic Shield has a partner in failure, and his cohort is our Star. When two National Solar Observatory Physicists suggested our next Cycle could have no Sunspots many ignored it.

(1:30) But, the pattern and indicators of a Magnetic Shutdown Cycle to Cycle, like the Dalton or even Mini-Maunder-like Minima is now also incontrovertible.

(1:40) We are at the point of a Solar Pole Flip now, the Cycle has almost peaked. It is in-progress, so to speak, we know the Southern Pole flipped in 2012 right there and if it's any indication of what's coming: the weakening will continue.

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(1:53) While the North is on the Southern-side, right now, it does appear to be headed back up and, therefore, not yet completely flipped. What would erasing that delicate Cosmic Ray balance on Earth do to our Climate? I'm not sure, but with Earth's Field weakening 10% [15%] since the 19th Century we are seeing two shields fade, with one of them: the more important one for Cosmic Rays potentially going on hiatus for a while.

(2:16) I find it odd that Cosmic Rays are not a greater focal point in Main Stream Climate Science. This doesn't belong hidden in paid journals, occasionally summarised on Science pages days to weeks later: this is what everyone should know.

(2:30) Anyway, Sunspots are trying to make a come-back; we'll see how they're doing in the A.M.

(2:34) It appears the Coronal Hole Stream from the departed northern opening arrived full two days later than I imagined; so, not surprisingly the post-density spike's speed-ramp is not a tremendous one.

(2:45) Filament near-by this morning's dancer took the high-road, leapt off to the South. Coronal Hole still weak on iSWA, but the 'Watch' is slightly elevated at 6 to 7 if only for the position and size.

(2:56) Plasma Filaments in 304 Angstroms to close via the SDO/AIA on Helioviewer. Eyes open, no fear. Be safe everyone.

Video by 'Suspicious0bservers' on YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nPSV01oLuLc


'News Addition: Earth Wind Map (Dec. 15, 2013)'

(0:01) Hey Folks, quick addition to this morning's news, which is the first link right below this video in the about tab. Every once in awhile we make a new connection or get a new way to look at our world.

(0:12) Sometimes it's simply a link sent by a thoughtful 0bserver; other times we happen to stumble upon something new in our daily checks.
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(0:19) Recent examples from iSWA include the 'Combined Field Cygnet,' which we use to refine the Geoeffectiveness of Coronal Holes. One day this and a number of other new Cygnets just popped up like the 'Ovation Prime' before them.

(0:33) Sometimes a breakthrough comes when you realize that what you've been starring at for a year actually tells you something you never expected to track; the 'Solar Wind Scape,' here, is used to gauge Coronal Hole power.

(0:44) One of the biggest game changers was the 'Colorized Magnetogram'; the previous black and white showed polarity in general, but gave not gradient. And now our ability to classify Sunspots on our own is ten-fold better.

(0:58) One example of a link just sent to me out of the blue, that found a regular home in our news, was the US Wind Map. This allowed us to show unprecedented visual correlation between surface pressure and wind drive on the temperature and storm convergence lines.

(1:14) And just like the US Map before it, the Whole World Map was sitting in my inbox this morning; thank you David Jenkins.

iFrame Via Supercomputers & Global Forecast System data: http://earth.nullschool.net/about.html

(1:21) It's easy to move around, as they click and drag of Earthquake 3D and similar programs; you can go to the polar regions too which is very cool in my mind.

(1:30) You can zoom-in by double-clicking, here the Euro Storm shown in this morning's news. It's a good day at the 0bservatory, the new Wind Map is solid and will find it's place in our Daily Shows to come.

(1:41) Check the morning news if you missed it, and especially yesterday's if you're a day behind. Be safe everyone.
 


Comments

Ellen
01/02/2014 10:42am

http://motherboard.vice.com/blog/dogs-poop-in-alignment-with-earths-magnetic-field

Reply
Juanita Bennett link
01/03/2014 4:58am

Is this true? http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2014/01/02/ever-wonder-why-dogs-spin-in-circles-before-squatting-heres-the-fascinating-answer/

Reply



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