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Turkey Protest and a Connection to Sunspots and the Solar Cycle

07/22/2013

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Main Stream Media Outlets across the globe are reporting on the Protests being held in Turkey since May 28th of this year. The initial protests started in Istanbul where a group of people were organizing against the replacement of Taksim Gezi Park.

Now, as of June 9th, these Protests are still taking place; a lot of political groups and activists are joining in the Protests, which have quickly turned into tens of thousands of people demonstrating across the entire country against their current Government.

Is there a natural influence that reinforces (adds energy to) emotions and human behavior that leads up to conflicts like these?

Take a look at some of the space weather changes that took place right before the protests starting with May 28th 2013: According to the Data from NOAA’s GOES 25, the number of Sunspots decreased significantly around mid of May and even dipped under 100 on the 24th of May.[1]

This is significant since Professor A.L. Tchijevsky conducted comprehensive research to study the interaction between the Sun and human excitability and found:

“During World War I, A. L. Tchijevsky, a Russian professor of Astronomy and Biological Physics, noticed that particularly severe battles followed solar flares during the sunspot peak period of 1916-17. Intrigued by the connection of human behavior to solar physics, Tchijevsky constructed an "Index of Mass Human Excitability". He compiled the histories of 72 countries from 500 BC to 1922 AD to provide a database to articulate his correlations. After rating the most significant events, Tchijevsky found that fully 80% of the most significant human events occurred during the 5 years or so of maximum sunspot activity.” [2]

Furthermore:

“When the data is examined, it appears that when solar-geomagnetic activity is changing most rapidly and is on the ascent or on the descent of a solar cycle, when solar spots are rapidly increasing or diminishing respectively, it has the greatest potential to affect human moods, behavior patterns, creativity and historical trends.”[3]

According to Professor Tchejievsky it’s not just possible that there is a direct connection between the sun activity and human behavior, it’s also most likely. Let’s take a look at past data and what this data is able to tell us. The original Paper: ‘Physical Factors of the Historical Process’ from Prof. Tchejievsky (1924), is referring to a paper done by J.D.Condorcet, which basis is the observational fact that there is a pattern in the humanity development making the deduction of generalizations possible.

With this analysis, Prof. Tchejievsky was a pioneer in his field, and some research followed in his direction. Prof. Suitbert Ertel showed evidence that during the maxima of sunspot activity, human behavior and cultural development is stimulated. He also showed that there is a correlation between solar activity and creativity.[4]

Prof. Vladimirsky explains the correlations between the solar activity and the human condition in his paper ‘Grand minima of solar activity and sociodynamics of culture’:

“Indices of creative productivity introduced by C. Murrey were used to verify S. Ertel’s conclusion about a global increase in creative productivity during the prolonged minimum of solar activity in 1640–1710. It was found that these indices for mathematicians, philosophers, and scientists increase in the Maunder era by factor of 1.6 in comparison with intervals of the same length before and after the minimum”.[5]

And now, back to Prof. Tchejievsky research from "Index of Mass Human Excitability", which brought up that 80% of the most significant human events occurred during the 5 years maximum sunspot activity, in an eleven year cycle.

In the paper, he was able to consider all works and text books available at that moment in modern and ancient languages for the purpose of studying people and behavior from all over the world. Tchejievsky stated 9 facts, based on his research and observations of 72 countries in that period, noting signs of human unrest such as wars, revolutions, riots, expeditions and migrations and the number of humans involved.
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These facts determining the connection between the periodical sun-spot activity and (1) the behavior of organized human masses and (2) the universal historical process.

The first four facts are:

1. As soon as the sun-spot activity approaches its maximum, the number of important mass historical events, taken as a whole, increases, approaching its maximum during the sun-spot maximum and decreasing to its minimum during the epochs of the sun-spot minimum.
2. In each century the rise of the synchronic universal military and political activity on the whole of the Earth's territory is observed exactly 9 times. This circumstance enables us to reckon that a cycle of universal human activity embraces 11 years (in the arithmetical mean). 
3. Each cycle according to its historical psychological signs is divided into 4 parts (periods):

I. Minimum of excitability    3 years
II. growth of excitability    2 years
III. maximum of excitability  3 years
IV. decline of excitability   3 years

The number of historical events in each cycle are distributed approximately according to the data for 500 years (15.—20. cent.) in the following manner (in the mean):

I. period      5%
II. period    20%
III. period   60%
IV. period    15%

According to this data, 80 % of historical events fall into the time of growth and maximum of excitability. That leads up to fact 4:

4. The course and development of each lengthy historical event is subject to fluctuations (periods of activity and inactivity) in direct dependence upon the periodical fluctuations occurring in the sun's activity. Formula: the state of predisposition of collective bodies towards action is a function of the sun-spot periodical activity. [6]

Thinking back to the start of the Iraq War in 2003, the protests in Turkey and the conflicts in Syria 2013, are interesting avenues for research and reflection since it is continuation of a long term trend, since we are currently in 2013 and are staring down the barrel of a peak in Solar Activity (solar maxima).

So, do short term changes in Solar Activity, like the ones observed in the month of May, also have an effect on human behavior?

Babayev und Allahverdiyeva show in their study, ‘Effects of geomagnetic activity variations on the physiologicaland psychological state of functionally healthy humans,' that there are correlations between geomagnetic activity, which is highly regulated by the sun’s activity, and has clear impacts on the human condition. The effects have a wide range and can vary from person to person.[7]

Babayev und Allahverdiyeva mention S. Palmer’s conclusions about the impact of solar activity on living organisms, according to results of his research in the field of heliobiology:

“Geomagnetic effects are more pronounced at higher magneticlatitudes; extremely high as well as extremely low values of geomagnetic activity seem to have adverse health effects; and a subset of the population (10–15%) is predisposed to adverse health due to geomagnetic variations.”[8]

They go on to reveal that:

“Gurfinkel’ et al. (1998) showed that during geomagnetic storms, number of cases of myocardial infarction increases 2.5 times, number of acute cerebral insults – 2 times, angina pectoris and cardiac arrhythmia – 1.5 times, and deaths – 1.2 times.”

Consider:

“Studies show (see, for example, the following papers and references therein: Breus and Rapoport, 2003; Palmer et al., 2006) that during periods of severe geomagnetic disturbances, number of hospitalized patients with nervous diseases significantly increases; cerebral insults, different paroxysmal conditions, nervous disturbance disorders and suicidal attempts are more frequent, and psycho-neurological diseases become aggravated.”[9]

Solar Activity and its impact on Earth is a natural environmental stress factor and has a constant influence on human behavior. O. Khabarovas and S.Dimitrovas paper, “On the Nature of People’s Reaction to Space Weather and Meteorological Weather Changes”, shows that there are not too high a linear correlation between long time series of weather, or space weather parameters, and human health, but that sharp changes of weather and space weather definitely stimulate sharp responses of the human organism. Hanz Selye names this phenomena “General Adaption Syndrome”.

“We confirmed here the effect of “anticipatory reaction” of bio-objects to geomagnetic storm agents.”

“The most probable physical nature of the General Adaptation Syndrome development in all these cases is the parametrical resonance of the adrenal gland, hypophysis and hypothalamus, which are responsible for the observed stress-adaptation reaction.”[10]

If people are aware that there are sometimes acts of nature that influence our emotions and state of mind that are beyond our physical control– we can prevent and stay calm in times of high activity or during changes in our environment.

[1] http://swc.nict.go.jp/sunspot/index_e.php

[2] Annette Deyhle, Ph.D., Researcher of GCI Research Team

[3] Annette Deyhle, Ph.D., Researcher of GCI Research Team

[4] ‘Physical Factors of the Historical Process’; A.L. Tchejievsky.; 1924.

[5] ‘Grand minima of solar activity and sociodynamics of culture’, B.M. Vladimirsky, 2011, published in Geofizicheskie Protsessy i Biosfera, 2011, No. 4, pp. 30–43

[6] ‘Physical Factors of the Historical Process’; A.L. Tchejievsky.; 1924

[7] ‘Effects of geomagnetic activity variations on the physiological and psychological state of functionally healthy humans: Some results of Azerbaijani studies’, 1941–1951, E. S. Babayev , A.A. Allahverdiyeva, 2007

[8] Palmer, S.J., Rycroft, M.J., Cermack, M. Solar and geomagnetic activity, extremely low frequency magnetic and electric fields and human health at the Earth’s surface. Surveys in Geophysics 27, 557–595, 2006

[9] Effects of geomagnetic activity variations on the physiological and psychological state of functionally healthy humans: Some results of Azerbaijani studies’, 1941–1951, E. S. Babayev , A.A. Allahverdiyeva, 2007

[10]‘On the Nature of People’s Reaction to Space Weather and Meteorological Weather Changes’,O.V.Khabarova, S.Dimitrova 60-71, 2007

Pic. 1. http://swc.nict.go.jp/sunspot/latest30sunspot_e.php

Pic. 2.‘Physical Factors of the Historical Process’; A.L. Tchejievsky.; 1924

 


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